Idaho Amateur Radio
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Idaho ARES - Cascadia Rising


Table Of Contents

 (UPDATED 4 MARCH 2016 -- SEE ARTICLE REVISION HISTORY) 

Overview

The purpose of this page is to provide you with resources to aid in planning for the Cascadia Rising Exercise. At this time, no planning information has been submitted by Idaho ARES Emergency Coordinators regarding this event. Should planning material be submitted for publication, this page will then evolve to encapsulate Idaho ARES planned activity.

Please check both this page and the Idaho ARES NEWS page for information on planning for the Cascadia Rising Exercise.

Additional information can also be found by clicking here.

Exercise Date

The Cascadia Rising exercise will be conducted from June 7 through June 10 of 2016. The operational period for the exercise is expected to span from 8 to 12 hours.

Background Information

The Cascade Subduction Zone experiences a major earthquake every 200 to 500 years, with the last event occurring in January of 1700. Projections of probabilities of a large earthquake along the Cascadia Subduction Zone indicate a 14% probability of a magnitude 9.0 earthquake in the next 50 years, and a 25% to 40% probability of an earthquake of a magnitude ranging from 8.0 to 8.5. There is a 37% chance of the Cascadia Subduction Zone producing a mega-thrust earthquake in the next 50 years.

The Cascadia Subduction Zone spans 700 miles, from British Columbia to Northern California, and is capable of generating earthquakes in excess of magnitude 9.0.

Exercise Scenario

The Cascade Rising Exercise is built upon a simulated earthquake and tsunami along the Cascadia Subduction Zone. The magnitude of the earthquake and tsunami are similar to recent events, which resulted in 240,000 fatalities in Indonesia (2004), 500 fatalities in Chili (2010), and 18,000 fatalities in northeastern Japan (2011).

The simulated scenario includes the following modeled impacts:

Impact Zone

The impact zone includes the major metropolitan areas of Portland - Oregon, Seattle - Washinton, and Vancouver - British Columbia, with a combined population of over 8-million people. Within the impact zone, the following situations will exist:

Exercise Objectives

The purpose of the exercise is two fold:

  1. To enhance disaster response joint-operations among local, state, tribal and the federal government, and select private sector and non-government organizations.
  2. Prepare for a level 1 catestrophic earthquake and tsunami disaster, linking gtogether Emergency Operation Centers and Emergency Coordination Centers throughout FEMA Region X, to provide a coordinated response.
Idaho ARES Participation

Planned participation in Idaho includes Department of Homeland Security and Emergency Managers, state partners, 10 counties, cities, tribes, private sector and Non-Government Organizations (NGO). Among listed counties are in Idaho ARES Districts 1 and District 2, and ADA county. This does not preclude Idaho ARES participants from providing support to those counties that are directly participating in the exercise.



Information provided by Idaho ARES District and/or County Emergency Coordinators, regarding their planning for participation in the Cascadia Rising Exercise, is posted below.

Please contact your Idaho ARES County Emergency Coordinator for details. If your county does not have an assigned Idaho ARES County Emergency Coordinator, please contact your Idaho ARES District Emergency Coordinator. If your district does not have an Idaho District Emergency Coordinator, please contact the Idaho Section Emergency Coordinator.


Any Emergency Coordinator that is involved in the planning for Idaho ARES operations in support of the Cascadia Rising Exercise is requested to submit content for this article using the Contact Idaho ARES form. All Idaho ARES Members can learn from the sharing of Cascadia Rising planning.


Statewide ARES Cascadia Rising Exercise

Statewide Idaho ARES Cascadia Rising Exercise information is provided by Bill Ward (K9GRZ), the Latah County ARES Assistant Emergency Coordinator.


Greetings All!

By now everyone should be aware of the Cascadia Rising Exercise being put on in June by DHS District 10. An excellent scenario description can be found by Google searching Cascadia Rising Scenario. The Scenario is the scientists version of what will happen on the ground when/if the Cascadia Sublimation Zone lets go—as is being simulated for the exercise.

The Cascadia Rising Exercise is an excellent opportunity for ARES to do some training and practicing. In the northern 10 counties, Districts 1 and 2, the counties will be playing in the Exercise and may, or may not, choose to involve ARES at the county level. There will be activities in Boise as part of the exercise and I understand that WC7ID will be on the air giving us a good chance to test our capability to talk to them both with voice and digital during daylight when propagation is likely to be less than perfect.

As the Idaho Section AEC for Training and SETs I will be hosting a statewide ARES exercise during the Cascadia Rising Exercise. During the Thursday, June 9, evening HF net I will be initiating a penetration test to see how many hams can be contacted, passed a formal message, and then respond to that message.

A statewide penetration test is a good test to see how many people we can contact. We've done them before and will, I assume, continue to do them in the future. Alas, a penetration test may tell us how many ARES members (or other hams) we can contact but it does NOT tell us if we can use those contacts to pass actual traffic should the need arise.

Therefore, whether or not your county is formally playing in Cascadia, I am encouraging all county ARES Teams to use this opportunity to run an additional, local, exercise to prove capability to actually pass traffic during an EMCOMM event.

As always, if there are any questions, comments, or concerns, please feel free to contact me:


Contact information is available only to Idaho ARES members who are currently logged into the web-site. If you are not seeing the contact information for Bill Ward (K9GRZ), Latah County ARES Assistant Emergency Coordinator, please log into the web-site and then navigate back to this page. If you are not an Idaho ARES member, you can join Idaho ARES (FREE) by applying on the registration page by clicking HERE.


Latah County ARES Cascadia Rising Exercise

Latah County ARES Cascadia Rising Exercise information is provided by Bill Ward (K9GRZ), the Latah County ARES Assistant Emergency Coordinator.

As I listened to the Idaho ARES HF net this evening (March 3, 2016) I was intrigued by Marlene's (KF6YNC, Owyhee County Emergency Coordinator) request that members respond with their planned participation in Cascadia. I was even more intrigued by the number of members who said they are planning to participate but do not yet have any county specific plans.

So, I thought I would share what Latah County is planning in the hopes that it may provide some inspiration to other counties as they begin to plan for this momentous training opportunity.

A primary purpose of ARES, including during this exercise, is to provide the ability to pass message traffic between two entities—in Latah County the two entities will be the County EOC and the State EOC. One complication we face here in Latah County is the inability to locate the ARES station with the EOC which will require an extra step in our message handling.

So, here’s the Latah County ARES Cascadia Rising Plan:

If any link of digital fails, we’ll use voice as the backup.

We have the following goals:

  1. Prove capability to mobilize a four member team to a given location and establish a radio communications station.
  2. Prove capability to establish a VHF voice and digital link between our communications station and the County EOC.
  3. Prove capability to establish an HF voice and digital link between our communications station and the State EOC.
  4. Perform the above in a timely manner with a target of no more than 4 hours to have communications established and to send/receive a test message from the time of the initial call.

This is an aggressive exercise plan for Latah County! We have never done any of the individual parts of the plan while under a time constraint, let alone combining all elements while under a time constraint. To improve our chances of a successful exercise we will be doing a few trial runs of the various parts of the plan between now and June.

If you have any questions about what we are planning in Latah County, please feel free to contact me at your convenience.


Contact information is available only to Idaho ARES members who are currently logged into the web-site. If you are not seeing the contact information for Bill Ward (K9GRZ), Latah County ARES Assistant Emergency Coordinator, please log into the web-site and then navigate back to this page. If you are not an Idaho ARES member, you can join Idaho ARES (FREE) by applying on the registration page by clicking HERE.


Video

The last earthquake that occured on the Cascadia Subduction Zone was a magnitude 9.2 earthquake, and occurred on January 27th, 1700. NOAA has created an animation that depicts the tsunami that occurred from that event. The January 27, 1700 event is similar to the simulated event that the Cascadia Rising Exercise is built upon. In the 1700 event, the Cascade Subduction Zone dropped one to two meters.



It is quite clear from this animation that a real event on the Cascadia Subduction Zone will result in an international crisis of immense proportions as the tsunami progresses across the Pacific ring of fire.

Maps

The following maps may be useful in developing an overall picture of the exercise area, served agency boundaries, and served agency facilities. Clicking on the map will open the map in a separate window.



Reference Documents

The following documents are available to support Idaho ARES planning activities:


Cascadia Rising Short Overview PDF
Cascadia Rising Overview (1 June 2015) PDF
Cascadia Rising Scenario Document PDF
Cascadia Rising Public Health & Medical Exercise Overview PDF
Cascadia Rising Public Health & Medical Exercise Talking Points PDF
FEMA Region X Training & Exercise Quarterly Compendium (October 2014) PDF
State of Oregon Recovery Plan PDF
Idaho Emergency Operations Plan (2009) PDF
Department of Homeland Security - National Interoperability Field Operations Guide (NIFOG) PDF

Article Revision History

REVISION CHANGE HISTORY
26 Jan 2016 Initial posting of Cascadia Rising article.
4 Mar 2016 Added information on Statewide ARES Cascadia Rising Exercise (Source: Bill Ward - K9GRZ)
Added information on Latah County ARES Cascadia Rising Exercise (Source: Bill Ward - K9GRZ)